Ashok Kumar Gupta, Ph.D.

Staff Scientist
Department of Earth & Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University

I study how aerosols, clouds, and radiation interact to shape weather and climate, from tropical convection and cirrus to polar mixed-phase clouds. My approach combines NASA satellite and airborne observations with climate model output, radiative-transfer and cloud-resolving simulations, and machine learning, guided by a recurring question: what does the vertical and size-resolved structure of aerosols and clouds reveal that column-integrated quantities cannot? Current themes include mineral dust, from its evolving global cycle to its role in cloud microphysics — the warm-rain and ice-crystal processes that govern precipitation; the radiative structure of tropical cirrus and polar clouds; the atmospheric and climate impacts of volcanic eruptions; and physics-informed deep learning for satellite retrievals, observation-consistent datasets, and model parameterizations.

Ashok Kumar Gupta, Ph.D.

Latest Highlight

New in Science Advances

A global decline in atmospheric dust during the 21st century

Gupta, Kok, Amiridis, Gkikas, Rizos, Proestakis, Logothetis, Marinou & Pérez García-Pando · Science Advances (2026) · Read the paper

Figure 4. An animation of year-by-year dust levels from 2003 to 2023, showing sustained declines over North Africa and Asia and in the global mean.

In the news: Nature Research Highlight — “Dust in the wind is on the decline” · NBC News — Science & Environment


Featured Publications

Annual dust aerosol optical depth, 2003–2023, by region and globally

Earth has become less dusty in the 21st century

Gupta et al., 2026 · Science Advances

Year-to-year changes in dust aerosol optical depth (DAOD), a measure of atmospheric dustiness, from 2003 to 2023 across major dust-source regions and globally. Global DAOD declined by −10 ± 8 %, with decreases across much of the Northern Hemisphere; shaded ranges show estimate uncertainty.

Strongest evidence yet of a global dust decline.

Hunga cooling

Hunga eruption cooled the Southern Hemisphere

Gupta et al., 2025 · Comms Earth & Env

Net cooling of −0.55 W m⁻² from sulfate aerosols drove a −0.10 K SH temperature anomaly — contradicting warming projections.

Measurable volcanic cooling challenges climate projections.

Warm vs cold rain

Warm vs. cold rain in continental storms

Gupta et al., 2023 · Comms Earth & Env

Warm-rain processes account for ~80% of surface precipitation in very warm-based clouds.

Cloud-base warming shifts precipitation to warm-rain.

Hunga chronology

Volcanic umbrella clouds: Hunga Tonga

Gupta et al., 2022 · Comms Earth & Env

Unprecedented umbrella heights (~31 km), two ice-rich layers, volumetric flow of ~5.0 × 10¹¹ m³ s⁻¹.

Record-high volcanic clouds redefine eruption science.

Annual dust aerosol optical depth, 2003–2023, by region and globally

Earth has become less dusty in the 21st century

Gupta et al., 2026 · Science Advances

Year-to-year changes in dust aerosol optical depth (DAOD), a measure of atmospheric dustiness, from 2003 to 2023 across major dust-source regions and globally. Global DAOD declined by −10 ± 8 %, with decreases across much of the Northern Hemisphere; shaded ranges show estimate uncertainty.

Strongest evidence yet of a global dust decline.

Hunga cooling

Hunga eruption cooled the Southern Hemisphere

Gupta et al., 2025 · Comms Earth & Env

Net cooling of −0.55 W m⁻² from sulfate aerosols drove a −0.10 K SH temperature anomaly — contradicting warming projections.

Measurable volcanic cooling challenges climate projections.

Warm vs cold rain

Warm vs. cold rain in continental storms

Gupta et al., 2023 · Comms Earth & Env

Warm-rain processes account for ~80% of surface precipitation in very warm-based clouds.

Cloud-base warming shifts precipitation to warm-rain.

Hunga chronology

Volcanic umbrella clouds: Hunga Tonga

Gupta et al., 2022 · Comms Earth & Env

Unprecedented umbrella heights (~31 km), two ice-rich layers, volumetric flow of ~5.0 × 10¹¹ m³ s⁻¹.

Record-high volcanic clouds redefine eruption science.

View all 13 publications →